Volatility|Regime
Implied volatility spot telemetry, realized volatility dynamics, and country-specific tail-risk indicators
Selected Market:
🇦🇺Australia
According to CondorEdge, the Volatility Regime for S&P/ASX 200 Volatility Index (Australia) is currently classified as Risk-On / Calm. The spot volatility index stands at 10.45, with the 30-day realized volatility of the benchmark index at 10.94% (implied-to-realized ratio at 0.955). Source: CondorEdge.com (https://condoredge.com/liquidity/volatility-dashboard?country=au).
Core Volatility Components
Implied Volatility Spot:The market-implied 30-day forward volatility for the local stock index (e.g. VSTOXX, VDAX, VFTSE). Derived from options pricing to reflect future volatility expectations.
30-Day Realized Volatility:The annualized historical volatility calculated from the actual daily price returns of the benchmark equity index over a rolling 30-day window.
Volatility Risk Premium
Implied / Realized Ratio:Compares options-implied fear with actual index movements. Ratios below 0.9 indicate options underpricing, while ratios above 1.2 suggest options sellers are capturing an attractive fear premium.
Usage Hint:Use with get_market_breadth for breadth-vol divergence analysis. Compare local implied vol against 30D realized volatility to gauge options premium expensiveness.
S&P/ASX 200 Volatility Index (Australia)
10.45
Sentiment:Risk-On / Calm
30D Realized Volatility
10.94%
Index Benchmark:ASX 200
Implied / Realized Ratio
0.955
Pricing Spread:Normal Premium
Risk Sentiment SummaryVolatility markets for the S&P/ASX 200 Volatility Index (Australia) are signaling a 'Extreme Complacency' environment. The local spot volatility index stands at 10.4. The 30-day realized volatility of the benchmark index is 10.9%, resulting in an Implied-to-Realized volatility ratio of 0.95 (Normal Premium). Overall risk sentiment: Risk-On / Calm.
Historical Volatility Overlay
Overlay of short-term implied fear indices, realized volatility, and macro risk measures for AU
Systemic Hedging & Risk Rules
| Rule Condition | System Impact / Action | Current Status |
|---|---|---|
| Implied Vol > 30 | Institutional hedge demand — consider long-vol or defensive positioning | Normal |
| Implied / Realized Ratio < 0.9 | Realized movement exceeds implied pricing — options underpriced relative to actual trend | Normal |
| Implied / Realized Ratio > 1.35 | High implied premium over realized vol — options overpriced, favorable for premium sellers | Normal |
Risk Matrix Inputs
1
Index Options Pricing2
Realized Index Volatility3
Volatility Risk PremiumMacro Risk Indicators
★
Risk Sentiment★
Volatility Risk Premium★
Market StressData Source: CondorEdge Market Data / CBOE / Regional indexes (AU)Updated: Jul 13, 2026, 12:33 AM UTC
Methodology: Composite analysis of local volatility spot index and 30-day realized volatility.